复杂膨胀性围岩条件下交岔点支护技术研究

针对复杂膨胀性围岩条件下交岔点高应力集中区围岩稳定性控制和支护技术难题，通过对交岔点围岩变形表现形式、交岔点围岩变形机理的研究分析，提出了交岔点支护难点及重点。基于围岩控制理论分析，提出了“有限让压的柔性支护+全断面封闭抗压的刚性支护技术”，前期柔性支护采用“高强、高预应力锚杆+锚索+喷浆”联合支护有限度控制围岩变形，允许围岩在可控范围内释放围岩应力|后期通过架设异形支架与支撑架组成的联合支护体并喷射混凝土对交岔点围岩进行全断面封闭抗压支护，有效控制巷道交岔点围岩的变形。确保了交岔点围岩变形的整体可控性、稳定性，达到了预期支护效果。     

鲸鱼优化支持向量机的短期风电功率预测

为提高风电预测的精度,提出一种鲸鱼优化支持向量机SVM(support vector machine)的组合预测模型。该模型针对风电序列的非平稳波动特性,首先应用集合经验模态分解技术EEMD(ensemble empirical mode de?composition)将原始风电序列分解为一系列不同特征尺度的子序列;并引入鲸鱼优化算法WOA(whales optimiza?tion algorithm)解决SVM中学习参数选择难的问题,进而对各子序列建立WOA_SVM预测模型;最后,叠加各子序列的预测值以得到最终预测值。仿真表明,所提EEMD_WOA_SVM模型具有较高的风电预测精度,显著优于其他基本模型。     

国内建筑涂料市场影响因素与预测分析

中国是全球最大的建筑涂料市场，各涂料厂商在中国建筑涂料市场上进行激烈竞争，能够精准预测行业趋势对各涂料厂商精准决策和投资，提升企业经营质量具有重要意义。文章收集了近 12年建筑业总产值、房地产投资、城镇常住居民人口、 M2和 GDP等影响建筑涂料市场的数据，通过回归分析的方法得出：各影响因素与建筑涂料产量存在紧密且正相关的定量关系，并由此预测了国内建筑涂料市场在未来 3年将稳步发展。     

NH2-MCM-41的改性及其pH响应性释药的研究

采用正硅酸乙酯（TEOS）和3-氨丙基三乙氧基硅烷（APTES）通过共缩聚法合成介孔二氧化硅（MCM-41）。首先对其氨基修饰，再通过有机合成接枝—R基团（—R：—CHO、—OH、—CH₃、—COOH），制备得到Me-Ph-NH-MCM-41、OHC-Ph-NH-MCM-41、HO-Ph-NH-MCM-41、HOOC-Ph-NH-MCM-41四种不同的药物载体。利用FT-IR、Zeta电位、XRD和SEM对其结构和形貌表征，结果表明NH₂-MCM-41改性成功。以罗丹明B（RhB）为模型进行载药性能测试，并考察了此释药系统在模拟不同pH的体液下的敏感释药行为，同时探究了不同—R基团对释药的影响。结果显示，四种载体在中性条件下几乎不发生药物释放，通过改变环境体系pH可以有效控制药物释放，其释药行为可以用Korsmeyer-Peppas动力学模型来描述。实验表明，释药量：RhB@HOOC-Ph-NH-MCM-41>RhB@OHC-Ph-NH-MCM-41>RhB@HO-Ph-NH-MCM-41>RhB@Me-Ph-NH-MCM-41，不同—R基团的药物载体的pH响应性不同，其中RhB@HOOC-Ph-NH-MCM-41释药量在pH=1.2时可达57.87%，在用于药物智能控释材料方面具有一定的应用潜力。     

基于SARIMA-GRNN-SVM的短期商业电力负荷组合预测方法

针对短期商业电力负荷预测准确性与周期难以满足现有电力现货市场的问题,提出了一种基于SARIMAGRNN-SVM(seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average-generalized regression neural network-support vector machine)的商业电力负荷组合预测模型。首先,对商业电力负荷变化的周期规律与随机因素的复杂影响进行了分析;然后,结合以上分析,选用SARIMA和GRNN为单一预测模型对商业电力负荷进行预测,并利用SVM进行组合,实现日前商业电力负荷预测;最后,通过某商业综合体的电力负荷数据进行验证。所提组合预测模型较单一预测模型拥有更优的预测精度与鲁棒性,可以为短期商业电力负荷预测提供借鉴。     

Multilayer thermal object identification in frequency domain using IR thermography and vector fitting

This paper deals with the identification of the thermal parameters of multilayer objects using the concept of thermal impedance. In order to perform such identification, temperature evolution in time is obtained by an infrared camera after power excitation is applied in the investigated structure. Infrared thermography offers the advantage of being a noncontact temperature detection and measurement method. In many practical cases, it is impossible to use contact temperature measurements. Typically, the power in the form of a step function is applied. In order to calculate the thermal impedance of an object, temperature and power are converted into the frequency domain using the Laplace transform for s = jω. Then, the poles of the thermal impedance are identified using vector fitting, which allows calculating the thermal impedance as a sum of partial fractions. This corresponds directly to the Foster network of a thermal object. In addition, the vector fitting method offers much better convergence in comparison with other methods using the polynomial rational approximation of thermal impedance. A considerable improvement of the numerical Laplace transform in high frequency range is proposed. In this approach, the variable s = jω is replaced by , and then, the integration result is corrected by the Taylor series. It leads to a kind of filtering of the temperature signal.     

Comparison of fuzzy logic based models for the multi-response surface problems with replicated response measures

A replicated multi-response experiment is a process that includes more than one responses with replications. One of the main objectives in these experiments is to estimate the unknown relationship between responses and input variables simultaneously. In general, classical regression analysis is used for modeling of the responses. However, in most practical problems, the assumptions for regression analysis cannot be satisfied. In this case, alternative modeling methods such as fuzzy logic based modeling approaches can be used. In this study, fuzzy least squares regression (FLSR) and fuzzy clustering based modeling methods, which are switching fuzzy C-regression (SFCR) and Takagi–Sugeno (TS) fuzzy model, are preferred. The novelty of the study is presenting the applicability of SFCR to the multi-response experiment data set with replicated response measures. Three real data set examples are given for application purposes. In order to compare the prediction performance of modeling approaches, root mean square error (RMSE) criteria is used. It is seen from the results that the SFCR gives the better prediction performance among the other fuzzy modeling approaches for the replicated multi-response experimental data sets.     

A new decomposition based evolutionary algorithm with uniform designs for many-objective optimization

For many-objective optimization problems, how to get a set of solutions with good convergence and diversity is a difficult and challenging work. In this paper, a new decomposition based evolutionary algorithm with uniform designs is proposed to achieve the goal. The proposed algorithm adopts the uniform design method to set the weight vectors which are uniformly distributed over the design space, and the size of the weight vectors neither increases nonlinearly with the number of objectives nor considers a formulaic setting. A crossover operator based on the uniform design method is constructed to enhance the search capacity of the proposed algorithm. Moreover, in order to improve the convergence performance of the algorithm, a sub-population strategy is used to optimize each sub-problem. Comparing with some efficient state-of-the-art algorithms, e.g., NSGAII-CE, MOEA/D and HypE, on six benchmark functions, the proposed algorithm is able to find a set of solutions with better diversity and convergence.